Russia’s military disaster 300 days into its invasion of Ukraine came at the hands of its strategic vision eroding on the failure of Belarus to open a northern axis into Kyiv at the commencement of hostilities and any time since. Russia cannot capture nor control Ukraine through a single Crimean-Don front as it is trying to do. The country is too massive. Hitler knew it after Kursk in 1943. Stalin knew it planning his Operation Bagration counter-offensive in 1944. Putin knows it too. The Catch 22, however, is that Belarus cannot invade Ukraine opening a northern front nor lend its Ukrainian border in proxy. The dictatorship of Alexander Lukashenko, Belarusian president-for-life, will collapse faster than Gaddafi’s Libya. That’s why Lukashenko didn’t budge on Putin’s…
Tagged: Belarus, Kaliningrad, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Lukashenko, NATO, Putin, Ukraine