Yesterday the Israel-Hamas War took a turn whose nuance was missed by the global media and it represents the most serious geo-dynamic shift we’ve seen in world politics since the end of the Cold War.

On October 7 2023 Israel declared war on Hamas after the Iran-backed terror group invaded southern Israel and killed over 1,400 civilians with barbaric savagery. It took over 230 hostages some children, some infants, and abused the corpses of others who were paraded as trophies in the streets of the Gaza Strip.

Soon after, I predicted two routes open to Israel for victory. Either Israel would literally flatten the Gaza Strip through airpower and an attritional combined-arms land campaign rooting out Hamas insurgents tunnel-by-tunnel in combat resembling the Battle of Stalingrad in 1942, or non-Hamas-aligned Palestinians would rise up and bring regime change under a moderate Islamic leadership.

I took geopolitical factors into consideration and they were straight forward at the time: Iran’s influence in the Levant, particularly the Occupied Territories of Israel had to end. For that to happen, a global coalition of Western countries led by the United States would need to shore up Israel’s resolve at all costs. Joe Biden could not repeat the mistakes made by Barack Obama a decade ago, whose intransigence failed to prevent the rise and growth of ISIS in Iraq and Syria.

But strategy doesn’t exist in a vacuum and that meant I also had to weigh the stakes. Thing is, a month later they’re only just coming onto the table

I did not foresee the chaos that’s manifested itself internationally these past weeks. Indeed, I’m not alone. The homeland security apparatuses of the West appear to be with me.

Since 2014 many in the West knew the threat that boatloads of Syrians, Iraqis and various other Arabs fleeing ISIS and civil wars in Syria and North Africa posed.

Still, I was surprised by the sudden awakening a fortnight ago of Islamist sleeper cells across nearly every Judaeo-Christian liberal democracy in Europe, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada and Australia.

The term “Islamist” denotes believers in fundamentalist Islam—Muslims who preach the concept of jihad and the death of infidels: in other words, killing Jews, Christians and secular Muslims.

More so, the cadres forming these anarchical cells have apparently insinuated themselves deeply into Western society. They’ve tapped into a latent Left-Wing political anti-Semitism (to the chagrin of Right-Wing anti-Semitic militias most famous for their insurrection at the US Capitol in 2021). The result is, both Left and Right are now flying Nazi swastikas.

Worse, we’re finding these proponents of fundamentalist Islam employed in Western media, on Western media, in Western politics, local government, law and order, education and the civil services. The London Police sacked a community adviser caught chanting anti-Semitic slogans at a demonstration yesterday. A London tube train blared the same slogans over its public address system earlier this week; the BBC and New York Times have been forced to recant anti-Israel propaganda reported as fact. Mainstream and social media have been incendiary, almost complicit.

But it’s at a societal level that these sleeper cells have come into their own. Hundreds of thousands of protesters, never before seen, are waving Palestinian and ISIS flags. Populating these crowds are thousands of Gen Zeds replete with anti-Semitic and anti-Israel placards. They’re mostly of the Covid-denial crowd—and brought up on the egotism of TikTok and Instagram. Goaded by their generation’s need to belong and look important, they’ve thrown themselves at the Islamists who they perceive will give them self-actualisation, a sense of purpose—or to put it more bluntly, self-worth.

These Zeds are tearing down posters of hostage infants. They’re chanting Hamas slogans calling for the death of Jews with the pithy “Free Palestine from the river to the sea”. Yet, most don’t know what the “river” or “sea” are. Even fewer care that those words hold no historical truth given the United Nation’s partition of the land into a Free Palestine and a Free Israel living side-by-side in 1947. Hardly would any know that “Palestine” as a nation has never existed—and had never been designated till then.

Thing is, were they to admit any of that, their self-image would collapse. The saddest lot among these puppets, of course, are the pro-Hamas LGBTQI+ protesters who, not knowing what Hamas is nor what extremist Islam is, also do not know that if they were to ever set foot in present day Gaza or the West Bank, they’d be tortured and murdered on the spot by Hamas as happened to the Jews of October 7. Like “ISIS brides”, female marchers also haven’t yet contemplated the truth of Islamist misogyny either.

The ultimate irony is that while the West loses its grip on Gen Z (and parts of Gen Y), it’s the Boomers and Gen Xers in Iran that are pulling their strings. Few Western marchers know why they have hatred inside. This is Iran’s masterstroke. They’ve unleashed a propaganda war through brainwashing that betters Nazi Germany.

Indeed, going by the violence and intimidation on the streets just these past days, it seems that the world is heading for a new Jewish Holocaust led by a fundamentalist Islam that has become a majority political movement in the world.

It seems that it is now an unstoppable wave of popularism, but that’s just propaganda too. It isn’t true.

Islamists aren’t a majority of anything. They remain a minority in Islam. they remain a rabid minority per se. They’re a well-led international violent mob that’s come on scene to put fear in a world pacified by consumerism, re-runs of Seinfeld, bagels and sport. Still, just one of them strapped to TNT and shrapnel can bring disaster.

So, how can they be beaten? That’s where we get to the other stake that we’ve only learned of yesterday.

Israel finally admitted that it has the Atomic Bomb.

It’s the world’s worst kept secret of course. Even if you weren’t a student of balance of power politics, techno-thriller author Tom Clancy spilled the beans in his movie “The Sum of All Fears” (read the book better, it correctly ties the saga to Islamist terror).

Yes, Israel has nukes—some sources say upwards of 50, some upwards of 100. An open-source report tabled by the UK House of Commons in 2022 titled “Nuclear weapons at a glance: Israel” estimated Israel’s nuclear stockpile sat at 90 warheads with production ongoing. It confirmed that, “Clarification of Israel’s nuclear policies and capabilities is difficult due to its policy of ambiguity”.

It added that Israel held the capability to deploy these warheads by air, ground and submarine. Submarines brought global reach and stealth.

By this report alone, Israel possessed the ability to defend itself whether short, medium or long range. Given this equation then, any attempt by any regime at another Jewish Holocaust would be met with a nuclear holocaust of its own.

Why then let this information slip? That’s the conundrum.

It came from Israel’s Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu in a radio interview. He was asked: “Minister, according to your opinion there is (sic) no innocent people in Gaza. Therefore, humanitarian aid should not be given to them. For your part and according to your expectation, we should drop a nuclear bomb on the Gaza Strip, tomorrow morning, flatten it, and eliminate everyone who is in it?”

Eliyahu replied: “This is one option.” He also added: “The other option is to check what is important to them, what scares them, what will create the next deterrent for them.”

Now, unless you’re a child or a fool, you don’t give this information to your enemies let alone the world.

Hence, according to the narrative today, Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu immediately condemned Eliyahu’s claim in a statement saying, “Amichai Eliyahu’s words are detached from reality. Israel and the IDF are acting in accordance with the highest standards of international law in order to prevent harm to uninvolved people, and we will continue to do that all the way to victory,” and he then stood the minister down.

But he didn’t refute Eliyahu’s words.

That’s because Netanyahu had done something similar weeks prior to Hamas’ attack in, of all places, the United Nations—which was quickly retracted as “a slip of the tongue”.

As France 24 reports, Netanyahu told the General Assembly on September 22 2023 that:

Above all—above all—Iran must face a credible nuclear threat. As long as I’m prime minister of Israel, I will do everything in my power to prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons.

His office quickly reacted saying that the prime minister meant to say “credible military threat” because that’s how the speech actually read. No retraction this time.

No, I’m going to argue that in all probability Eliyahu’s words were chosen carefully by Israel’s Foreign Ministry and approved by its war cabinet. Yes, he’s a Right-Wing firebrand—just as Netanyahu’s entire government is a powder keg that Israelis have tried to douse for nearly a year now.

This was an attempt at detente and if we take Netanyahu’s words in September as a gauge, it’s the only deterrence Israel has against Iran sending its next signal to its cells and unleashing terror in the streets across the world. It’s the only stick Israel wields that can stop violent Islamist marches and their Western fodder turning into the violent unadulterated terror that Hamas was given licence to unleash on October 7.

Regime change is the only way that Iran’s global proxy war stops. While it overtly looks like Hamas must be beaten, only regime change in Iran can do that—unless the Arab World stands together for a secular Islamic Palestine, meaning regime change in the Occupied Territories.

Regime change in Iran of course can only happen from within if the world doesn’t want to see Iran’s Qods forces in London, New York, Berlin, Paris and Sydney—which is the worry I hold, given the speed with which the brazen pro-Hamas marches developed this past week. All these cities have seen Islamist terror before.

So, there’s two more ways the Israel-Hamas War can end: A nuclear strike on Tehran, or a sizeable bribe to the IRGC to change its business model. In one, fundamentalist Islam loses both its head and bankroll; in the other a halt to global jihad is decreed.

Good news is that behind Iran’s Islamic facade is a business. A multi-billion-dollar enterprise crossing numerous industries, black markets, the arms trade and infrastructure. Run by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps or IRGC or Pasdaran, its actual net worth is unknown: though the US State Department currently offers “up to $15 million” for anyone who can provide

 “information leading to the disruption of the financial mechanisms of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and all its various branches, including the IRGC-Qods Force (IRGC-QF). The IRGC has financed numerous terrorist attacks and activities globally. The IRGC-QF leads Iran’s terrorist operations outside Iran via its proxies, such as Hamas, Hizballah, and Iran-backed militia groups in Iraq.”

Diplomacy takes skill, phenomenal patience, chutzpah and a definite ability to mask one’s hubris at the right moment. On this occasion though, Iran has overplayed its hand taking the lid off a bottle it can only hope to reseal.

War is politics, politics is business and in Capitalism sometimes you lose and sometimes you win.

It’s not just Jews and Palestinians that are at stake this time. We have to give Gen Z some hope or a good portion of it may be about to die.

© 2023 Adam Parker.

Picture credit: “Trident II D5 missile launches from the Ohio-class ballistic missile submarine USS Nebraska”. US Navy 2008, public domain.